The Usual Suspects
You play with the same people long enough, you pay attention, you adjust and they don't, and you ought to be able to beat them.
I think this is where I am with the Crime Scene Game. I know the regulars. I know how they play. I am rarely surprised, these days, when a hand goes to showdown: I know what I'm likely to see.
Whereas, I know that I am capable of surprising them.
I was under the gun (first to act after the big blind). I made a minimum raise. It folded around to the big blind, who tripled my bet. I smooth-called.
The flop came: Js 10c 8s.
The other player checked. I bet two thirds of the pot.
He called.
The turn was: 3c
My opponent checked. I made a half-pot bet.
He called.
The river was: 9h
My opponent led out for about a quarter of the pot.
The range I put him on, given the action and what I know of his style: a mid pocket pair (66, 77, 88, 99), AK, A10 or possibly AJ.
I raised all-in. I had my opponent well-covered, but it was effectively another pot-sized bet for all his chips.
He rolled his eyes, heaved a great sigh of frustration, and folded.
For which I was very grateful: as I dragged the rather substantial pot, I flipped over my pocket deuces.
I rarely show. I think I pissed off my opponent pretty severely by showing this particular bluff, but since I play at this venue often, I need to sow the seeds of doubt periodically. Ninety-five percent of the time when I show down, I have a great hand. When I win without showdown, I muck. Consequently, I have an extremely solid image. But they all need to know I am capable of the all-in bluff.
So that they'll pay me off BOTH when I have the nuts AND when I shove with air.
...Why yes, thank you, I do believe I'll have my cake and eat it too.
Labels: cash game, hands, strategy
3 Comments:
[insert two thumbs up icon here]
You're back at your A-game again, nice hand!
/j.
nh, but how can you put him on AT, AJ, or AK and not AQ? Was it the 1/4 pot river bet? What would he have done if he had a Q?
Guy is a major donkey if he'll check-call two streets with whiffed over cards or a set of eights.
@Anonymous:
...not on AQ?
Because I know this guy, and he's not chasing down a gutshot straight draw. He will call with a pair or an open-ended straight draw.
He might well check-call two streets with a set of eights because he lives to trap me. I thought 99 was the most likely hand though, because he raises bigger with weaker made hands.
This entire hand was situational. I was just confident that I could move him off his hand if a scare card came (either the flush or straight).
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